MADURO’S DECISION TO EXPEL THE EUROPEAN UNION’S AMBASSADOR TO VENEZUELA WAS JUSTIFIED AND CORRECT FROM A POLITICAL VIEWPOINT
Maduro’s expelling of the EU’s ambassador in Caracas was a
response to the EU’s decision to sanction 19 Venezuelans for “undermining
democracy” and alleged human rights abuse. The list included the governor of
Zulia, the commander of the armed forces, the president
and two other members of Venezuela’s electoral council, and two leaders of the Venezuelan opposition. Their real crime was their involvement in the December
National Assembly elections which the radical opposition boycotted.
In spite of the recently announced sanctions imposed by the
EU, the organization called on the Maduro government to reconsider its
decision, stating “The EU profoundly regrets this decision, which will only lead to
further international isolation of Venezuela.” The EU’s response was a
clear display of arrogance. Any “developed” Western nation under similar
circumstances would not have thought twice about reacting in tit-for-tat
fashion.
Actually, Maduro had no real alternative but to retaliate by
expelling the EU ambassador. Not doing so would have been a show of weakness.
How would it look to those Chavistas who have been slapped with this unjust
measure? How would Bernabé Gutiérrez and José Brito, the National Assembly
deputies belonging to the opposition who were targeted by the EU’s measure,
reacted? Maduro’s inaction would have jeopardized the relations between the
Chavistas and those sectors of the opposition like Gutiérrez and Brito who are boldly
facing up to the radical U.S.-supported opposition led by Juan Guaido and
Leopoldo Lopez.
But there is another reason why Maduro's move was politically
astute. Negotiations brokered by the EU and possibly Washington will likely occur
sooner or later (hopefully sooner, in order to lift the deadly international sanctions).
From the outset, Maduro has to publicly and explicitly make clear that regime
change and rescheduling elections are not up for discussion. At this point,
Venezuela’s position in the international community is stronger than in the
four years of the Trump administration. There is a groundswell in favor of
change, manifested in the Black Lives Matter movement, the Bernie Sanders’
campaign, the electoral triumph and expansion of the “Squad” congresspeople,
Trump’s humiliating defeat in November and the failure of sanctions to achieve
their objectives in country after country. Venezuela’s position is further
bolstered by the complete discredit of Juan Guaidó due to well-documented acts
of corruption and his regime change fiascos, and the EU’s own withdrawal of
diplomatic recognition of Guaidó. Caracas’ failure to state clearly what is off
the table and what is on the table of negotiations will result in a well-known
scenario: the failure to reach any agreements after three months of
negotiations, with the U.S.-appointed negotiators acting in bad faith, followed
by Biden’s announcement backed by the EU of a stiffening of policy toward
Venezuela. If Maduro makes clear from the outset that rescheduling elections is
not negotiable, Washington negotiators will be limited as to how they can frame
the issues.
In short, there are certain measures taken against Venezuela that
are clearly unacceptable and should not be tolerated. Sanctions are one of them
as is insistence on regime change in one form or another. Maduro was wise to make clear where he is drawing the line
and just how far he is willing to go in order to improve relations with the
imperial powers.