Delcy Rodríguez is Accommodating Washington – More Than is Necessary to Avoid a Showdown
Venezuelan
provisional president Delcy Rodríguez’s all-smiles photo op
with Trump in a Manhattan hotel on September 22 proved too much for some of her erstwhile supporters. For the Spanish
leftist Juan Carlos Monedero, a staunch defender
of Hugo Chávez, Maduro and at first Rodríguez, her New York appearance “clashed
with the previous socialist and anti-imperialist discourse” of her movement.
Shortly
before the encounter, Rodríguez evaded a reporter’s question
about whether she would visit jailed Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro
in Brooklyn. Her
decision to stay clear of Maduro is consistent with her attempt to chart a new
course for Venezuela.
Rodríguez became interim president following the bloody U.S.
military incursion on January 3, 2026 that resulted in the kidnapping of Maduro
and the First Lady Cilia Flores. Facing the prospect of a second, more
devastating military attack, Rodríguez shifted sharply toward Washington on
foreign and oil policy while reshuffling the public administration and military
at the expense of hardline pro-Chávez (Chavista) loyalists.
Rodriguez’s strategy goes too far
Rodríguez’s strategy from the outset was to demonstrate that
she was not cowardly submitting to Washington’s dictates or acting as a
collaborationist a la Vichy France. Her wholehearted embrace of policies pushed
by Washington is designed to dispel any impression that she is bowing to U.S.
pressure. On many key issues, she has become as Catholic as the Pope with
regard to Trump, while retaining the Chavista label. Shortly after January 3, Rodríguez
affirmed “there
is no foreign agent” governing Venezuela, a claim unconvincingly echoed by the
second in command Diosdado Cabello who alleged “we don’t
depend on anyone.”
In a different vein, pro-Rodríguez analysts
argue that the interim president has zero options given the U.S. threats. Either
submit to Washington or expect massive bombardment and/or a return of the old
regime.
But there is clear evidence that Rodríguez has some latitude,
albeit limited, which she has declined to fully exercise. That’s because Trump
is fully wedded to his partnership with her.
Trump decided to recognize Rodríguez rather than right-wing leader
María Corina Machado – much to the disappointment of Miami-based anti-Communist
hawks – for good reasons. A confidential
CIA report requested by the Trump administration prior to January 3 warned that
the Venezuelan opposition lacked support within the pro-Chavista armed forces
as well as the police force. The conclusion was obvious: turning power over to
Machado was a recipe for chaos, if not civil war.
Trump has assimilated the Pentagon’s assessment of “de-Baathification”
following the U.S. invasion of Iraq as a “complete
disaster,” responsible for the endless internecine conflict in that nation. Trump
has repeatedly invoked the Iraq fiasco when discussing the Rodríguez government.
At one press conference
he noted with reference to Venezuela “We
had, as you remember, Iraq, where everybody got fired…And you know what they
turned into? ISIS. And we don’t want that.”
Moreover, the decision to recognize Rodríguez rather than
Machado was not taken on a whim but rather followed months of careful deliberation
at the highest level of the Trump administration. He now touts his partnership with Rodríguez as
a major success at a time in which he has very few of them to tout. It is thus unlikely
that Trump will readily turn his back on Rodríguez. The upshot is that
Rodríguez has some room to maneuver.
How much wiggle room?
The Chavista movement under Rodríguez has retreated from its
defining banner: the uncompromising defense of national sovereignty. To its
credit, the movement’s
leadership continues to cast itself as an opponent of the traditional elite and
a defender of the collective production units known as “communes.” But these
positive features fall short for a movement that once raised such high
expectations. While retaining a sense of realism,
Rodríguez could have at least maintained a more neutral position on issues that
compromised national sovereignty.
One of the
most troubling examples was Venezuela’s collaboration in the
extrajudicial killing of Niño
Guerrero, leader of the criminal Tren de Aragua, in a U.S. Southern Command
missile strike in the state of Bolívar in June 2026. The Venezuelan government,
which provided intelligence information to the Southern Command, issued a
statement in which it “congratulated”
all participants in the operation. In doing so, Caracas lent credence to
Trump’s false narrative that drug traffickers are terrorists. At the very
least, the Rodríguez government could have stayed out of the operation while maintaining
a neutral public posture.
Equally
striking was the marked presence of Israeli military officers, including senior
army officer Brigadier General Elad Edri, at a formal farewell meeting on July
21 in which Rodríguez thanked Israel for its earthquake relief efforts. U.S.
and Israeli military involvement in the recovery operations drew objections
from Chavista social movements, such as the famed Caracas barrio-based Coordinadora
Simón Bolívar. They especially resented the conspicuousness of the presence of
military personnel of both nations, symbolized by a controversial photograph
of a beaming Diosdado Cabello shaking hands with U.S. Southern Command chief Francis
L. Donovan, who had overseen the January 3 incursion. This, then, was another instance
in which the Chavista leadership offered Washington a level of support that
went well beyond what was necessary given the circumstances.
Still another
example of the lengths to which Rodríguez has gone in accommodating Washington
is her willingness to accept the Pentagon’s participation in the Venezuelan oil
industry. The mega oil deal reached between Washington and Caracas in late
August gives the Pentagon 35 percent ownership of the operating company that is
to exploit 17 Venezuelan oil fields representing nearly 150 percent of U.S.
proven reserves. But there is no precedent for the Pentagon’s equity ownership
of this nature which is of dubious legality. Venezuelan analyst Phil Gunson,
who has been briefed on the deal, told the Guardian that the major oil
companies “are concerned
about the irregularities.” From Venezuela’s viewpoint, the involvement of the
Pentagon in the nation’s oil business makes little sense.
From the
perspective of the Pentagon and its Israeli counterpart, Rodríguez’s
conciliatory stance appears to be a vindication and a reversal of Chavista
defiance – if not a payback for past grievances. In January 2000 Chávez turned
back a sizable relief operation that the same U.S. Southern Command was in the
process of sending in response to catastrophic floods, which had devastated the
state of Vargas the previous month. Chávez’s decision
was an embarrassing rebuff for the Pentagon, if not humiliating.
Along
similar lines, Roni Kaplan, spokesperson for the Israeli armed forces and a
member of his nation’s aid mission, told CE Noticias Financieras-English on
July 22, “it’s like when you fight with someone and they come to apologize, and
when they say they’re sorry, you say, “‘I’ve already forgotten all about it.’” Kaplan’s
statement puts in sharp relief the extent to which Rodríguez’s posture breaks
with the Chavista past.
Where
things now stand
The pro-Chavista think tank Misión Verdad puts a positive spin on Rodríguez’s
strategy. According to its take, the Manhattan meeting with Trump marked the
point at which “Washington’s
asymmetric coercion and the strategic adaptation deployed by the Chavista
movement converge.” For both Trump and Rodríguez, the aim was the same: “stabilization…
to reduce political costs by sacrificing ideological orthodoxy.” The asymmetry according
to the Misión Verdad statement “does not erase the agency of the quantitatively
weaker actor; it alters its tactics, shifting it from open confrontation toward
strategic adaptation.”
The adaptation
demanded by the asymmetry is captured in a slogan championed by Diosdado
Cabello: “Venezuela: Reborn United.” Strip away the Misión’s lofty language,
and the message is that the Chavista movement needs to make a fundamental break
with its past in important ways.
Adaption is
understandable given the circumstances of January 3. But if Chavismo abandons the
banner of defense of national sovereignty, little remains of what defined the
movement. And that is precisely where the strategy of being “as Catholic as the
Pope” in accommodating Washington has led.
That’s not
to say there are easy answers or that an alternative strategy would necessarily
succeed, particularly given Trump’s notorious unpredictability. Nor does it
mean that Rodríguez deserves to be demonized as a sellout as so many on the
left are doing. Such demonization underestimates the challenges and uniqueness
of the situation, at the same time that it divides the solidarity movement. The
relative unity of the Chavista leadership has been one of its strengths ever
since Chávez’s death in 2013, and the same needs to be preserved in the
solidarity movement.
The problem
is that the options available to Rodríguez are scarce, whereas Trump has many.
He need not pull off another January 3. Nearly all Venezuela’s oil-derived
revenue is in a U.S. account handled by Marco Rubio. All Rubio has to do is to
withhold it or scale it back whenever Rodríguez steps out of line with
Washington.
Furthermore,
the Trump administration can at any moment insist on the calling of
presidential elections, which if electoral contests in other Latin American countries
are any indication, will involve direct involvement by Washington in favor of candidates
on the right.
Even with
this reality hanging over her, Rodríguez and other Chavista leaders have put
forward two major demands: free Maduro and Flores and an end to the sanctions,
which remain largely intact. Rodríguez, however, has not put these two demands
front and center in her dialogue with the Trump administration – not by a long
shot.
As pressure from Miami grows for
Venezuela to set an electoral timetable, the position that elections and harsh
sanctions are incompatible would shift responsibility for any delay onto
Washington. Last Spring, Chavista leader Ernesto Villegas, who headed the
government’s Program for Peace and Democratic Coexistence, called for “elections
free of sanctions.” Linking elections explicitly to the lifting of sanctions
would allow the Rodríguez government to reclaim some distance from Washington,
even as U.S. blackmail severely limits its ability to fully assert national
sovereignty.
A slightly
modified version of this article originally appeared on the page of
CounterPunch. https://www.counterpunch.org/2026/10/09/delcy-rodriguez-is-bending-over-backward-to-accommodate-washington/


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